Returns – U.S. Equities vs. Commodities While commodities can serve as a hedge in certain market conditions, U.S. equities are likely to continue outperforming them over the long term due to their lower volatility, more stable returns, and historical performance trends. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
G7 Inflation Average Current projections and trends suggest a return to 5% inflation is unlikely in the near term, but long-term structural changes and unforeseen shocks could alter this outlook. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 Volatility The concentration of large-cap stocks has significantly impacted market volatility, with these stocks accounting for a record share of it. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
M2 Money Supply The recent rise in the M2 money supply in the United States is considered a favorable development for equity markets, enhancing liquidity and potentially driving additional investment in stocks. Image: Deutsche Bank
Fed Funds Forecast vs. Market Pricing While the Fed has made progress in the fight against inflation, BofA holds a significantly more hawkish view on Fed policy compared to market expectations. Image: BofA Global Research
Weekly High Grade Fund Flows Over the past week, substantial inflows of $5.25 billion into U.S. high-grade funds and ETFs demonstrate strong investor confidence in their potential returns. Image: BofA Global Research
G10 Policy Rates The majority of G10 central banks are either currently cutting rates or are expected to start soon, reflecting a broader global disinflationary trend and changing economic conditions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Tech/Telecom/Healthcare vs. Financials/Energy/Materials as % of Global Equities Should long-term investors consider buying the dip in sectors such as Financials, Energy, or Materials? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Current Market Pricing for Fed Funds Rate Traders predict that the Federal Reserve’s terminal rate, which marks the end of the rate cut cycle, will be around 3%. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
China Exports China’s exports increased by 2.6% since October 2023, mainly due to demand from regions outside the U.S. However, challenges persist, including weak domestic demand and geopolitical tensions that may impact future trade. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Real GDP in U.S. Deutsche Bank has significantly revised its U.S. GDP growth forecast for the second half of 2025 and early 2026, citing trade policy shocks and tighter financial conditions. Image: Deutsche Bank