Average Cumulative S&P 500 Total Returns – Investing on Any Day vs. Investing at New High Despite widespread investor hesitation to buy at all-time highs, data suggest that doing so generally leads to better future returns compared to investing on random days. Image: Yahoo Finance
Equity Positioning and Earnings Growth Equity positioning aligns with S&P 500 Q2 2025 earnings growth and suggests further upside—if robust and resilient earnings continue and broaden across sectors. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Crypto Fund Flows Last week, crypto funds experienced substancial outflows, partly due to profit-taking. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Cross Asset Flows as a % of Assets Money market funds continue to attract strong investor interest, providing safe and profitable short-term opportunities in the current high-interest-rate environment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Alternating Higher and Lower Days in a Row Over seven days in August, the S&P 500’s alternating higher and lower closes signal a choppy trading environment, consistent with usual seasonal patterns amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. Image: Carson Investment Research
CTAs Exposure to Gold Commodity Trading Advisors have raised their gold allocations and continue to hold net long positions, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by structural and tactical factors influencing gold’s demand and price in 2025. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Index and Blended Forward EPS Citigroup strategists raised their year-end S&P 500 target to 6,600 points, up from 6,300, expecting that tax cuts introduced in July 2025 will counterbalance the negative impact of tariffs on U.S. companies. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Net Long Futures Contracts Despite some profit-taking, asset managers and leveraged funds remain strongly net long on S&P 500 futures, signaling a positive outlook for the U.S. stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank
Discretionary Investors Equity Positioning vs. S&P 500 EPS Revision Ratio The gap between strong earnings upgrades and relatively low discretionary investor positioning suggests that these investors are likely to increase their exposure to equities over time. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Financials Group Positioning Financial positioning is still low, currently at the 34th percentile, which suggests room for further growth. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Recession Probability Both the S&P 500 equity market and the corporate bond market reflect investor expectations that a U.S. recession is unlikely or at least of low probability in the coming months. Image: J.P. Morgan Flows and Liquidity