Author: isabelnet

Nominal Effective U.S. Dollar and China Manufacturing PMI China’s rising manufacturing PMI is bearish for the U.S. dollar. Image: Alpine Macro

M2 Annual % ROC (Advanced 12-Months) vs. GAAP Earnings (Leading Indicator) The significant decline in M2 growth puts GAAP earnings at risk. Image: Real Investment Advice

60% Stock/40% Bond Portfolio Yield Less Six-Month U.S. Treasury Bill Yield The traditional 60/40 portfolio looks vulnerable. Is cash an attractive alternative? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

G4 Central Bank Balance Sheet Will central bank’s quantitative tightening increase pressure on financial markets? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield and Fair Value Model How much higher could bond yields potentially go before they peak? Image: Alpine Macro

S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets – 3rd Year of U.S. Election Cycle Only Both bulls and bears may be frustrated this year. Image: Topdown Charts

Inflation – ISM Services Business Prices vs. Copper The rise of copper prices is a cause for concern as it can lead to higher prices for a variety of goods and services. Image: Steno Research

Real S&P 500 Price vs. Real Earnings Reversion to the mean is a powerful force. Should investors expect earnings to fall futher? Image: Real Investment Advice

M2 Growth vs. U.S. Nominal GDP The sharp contraction in M2 growth could be a cause for concern when it comes to U.S. nominal GDP growth. Image: Deutsche Bank

Recession – U.S. Conference Board Leading Index (LEI) Does the current decline in the U.S. Leading Economic Index (LEI) guarantee a recession within the next few months? Image: Deutsche Bank

Market Depth on 10-Year USTs and 10-Year Bund Futures Will market depth on 10Y USTs and 10Y Bund futures continue to improve? Image: J.P. Morgan