Author: isabelnet

Manufacturing PMIs Manufacturing PMIs suggest that the industrial sector may continue to weaken ahead. Image: BofA Global Research

Energy Crisis – Germany 2-Year Asset Swap Spreads Could the Germany energy crisis turn into a deep recession? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Valuation – S&P 500 Historical P/E Ratio in Different Inflation Environments Should U.S. equity investors expect lower stock valuations, as U.S. core PCE remains elevated? Image: Guggenheim Partners

U.S. Bear Markets and Recoveries Bear markets don’t last forever. When will U.S. stocks recover from the current downturn? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Various September S&P 500 Index Returns Should U.S. equity investors brace for a volatile September? Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Index Alongside Recessions and Bottoms Historically, the S&P 500 tends to bottom during a recession, and usually not until mid-way through. Image: Deutsche Bank

Seasonality – Average S&P 500 Level for Midterm and Non-Election Years Historically, September has been challenging for the S&P 500 in midterm election years. Image: J.P. Morgan

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Discretionary Investors Positioning The correlation between discretionary investor equity positioning and ISM manufacturing is quite strong at 67%.

Inflation – U.S. Headline CPI vs. Brent Crude Oil U.S. headline inflation is expected to ease amid falling oil prices. Image: J.P. Morgan

Markets Bottoms and Fed Fund Rates Should U.S. equity investors be worried when the Fed cuts rates? Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

S&P 500 and Percent of World Markets Above their 50-Day Moving Average Historically, oversold conditions in a breadth thrust regime tend to be bullish for U.S. stocks. Image: All Star Charts