Distribution of Historical Stock and Bond Returns
Distribution of Historical Stock and Bond Returns U.S. stocks and bonds both have suffered significant losses since the beginning of the year. Image: Alpine Macro
Distribution of Historical Stock and Bond Returns U.S. stocks and bonds both have suffered significant losses since the beginning of the year. Image: Alpine Macro
Global CPI Inflation Global inflation is expected to decline substantially in 2023. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 and U.S. 10-Year Real Yield Should investors remain bearish on the S&P 500? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Margins – PPI Trade Service Index, Unit Labor Costs and U.S. Core CPI Are margins at risk in 2023? Image: Pantheon Macroeconomics
Net Percent of U.S. Banks Tightening Consumer Loan Standards and Recessions Is it a warning sign of a recession on the horizon? U.S. banks are significantly tightening lending standards, which doesn’t bode well for the economy. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
IG + HY + EM Debt Flows Flows into IG/HY/EM debt have turned positive. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Market Cycle Indicators Will the % of market cycle indicators be less than 30% in the next 12 months? Image: Richardson Wealth
Brent Crude Oil Will oil prices continue to fall on weaker economic outlook? Image: The Daily Shot
Housing Market – U.S. Pending Home Sales Recession is coming in the United States. U.S. pending home sales, down 30% from a year ago, are a good leading indicator of the housing market. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
FMS Investors – Net % Overweight Energy FMS investors continue to overweight energy. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
Inflation vs. Short Term Rate Expectations Will recessionary conditions and cooler inflation force the Fed to cut rates in 2023? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey