Performance – COVID-19 Reopening vs. Lockdown Portfolio and U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield BofA expects 30-year U.S. Treasury yields to rise and the “reopening portfolio” to fall. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Bitcoin Market Capitalization and Global M2 Money Supply Bitcoin could fall if global M2 money supply continues to slow. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Inflation – 2-Year Change in Labor Participation Rate and 2-Year Change in CPI Growth Labor shortages contribute to inflation. Image: Alpine Macro
Bear Markets – 30-Year U.S. Treasury Drawdown Will the U.S. Treasury bond market continue to sell off? Image: BofA ETF Research
S&P 500 – 2008 vs. 2022 Is a recession coming in the United States? So far, the S&P 500 is tracking the 2008 analog. Image: Real Investment Advice
Bitcoin – Correlation Between Equities and Cryptocurrencies The S&P 500 and Bitcoin are increasingly correlated. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Interest Rates – Duration Between Last Fed Rate Hike and First Rate Cut (Months) Could the Fed cut rates in 2023 to avoid a recession? Image: ING Economics
Average Monthly S&P 500 Returns and Volatility with Different Growth/Policy Mix Should U.S. equity investors expect anemic monthly returns this year? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate vs. U.S. 10-Year Real Rate As stagflation is a growing threat to the U.S. economy, will the Fed maintain a loose policy? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Oil Price Spikes and U.S. Recessions Historically, sharp increases in oil prices have preceded recessions in the United States. Image: Richardson Wealth
U.S. Recession Probability Goldman Sachs model shows that U.S. recession risks are rising. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research