U.S. 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate vs. U.S. 10-Year Real Rate As stagflation is a growing threat to the U.S. economy, will the Fed maintain a loose policy? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Oil Price Spikes and U.S. Recessions Historically, sharp increases in oil prices have preceded recessions in the United States. Image: Richardson Wealth
U.S. Recession Probability Goldman Sachs model shows that U.S. recession risks are rising. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index and 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Less Than 0.25% Historically, the inversion of the 10Y-2Y yield curve is not an immediate sell signal for U.S. stocks. Image: MarketDesk Research
Yield Curve – U.S. Equity Returns in the 12-Months Following the First 10Y-2Y Inversion in Each Cycle Will the S&P 500 hit a new record high this year, despite the 10Y-2Y inverted yield curve? Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. Treasury Return vs. S&P 500 Return Is the pain trade still U.S. stocks and UST yields higher? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Average Yield Bond yields are up and look attractive. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 Returns Following 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Inversions The S&P 500 typically rises in the 12 and 24 months following the 10Y-2Y yield curve inversion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Gold vs. Long-Term Treasuries Rising yields tend to be bearish for gold. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Banks / Utilities (Leading Indicator) Will the ISM Manufacturing Index move downward from current levels? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Yield Curve 2s10s vs. Emerging Market High Yield Junk Bond Price Is a recession looming and are peak yields imminent? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy