Russell 2000 Value/Growth Relative Returns
Russell 2000 Value/Growth Relative Returns Should investors favor small-cap value stocks over small-cap growth stocks? Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Russell 2000 Value/Growth Relative Returns Should investors favor small-cap value stocks over small-cap growth stocks? Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Stocks – STOXX Europe 600 and Equity Strategy STOXX 600 Base Case Should investors underweight European equities in 2022? Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Around First Fed Rate Hikes vs. Speed of Hikes Historically, the S&P 500 has tended to struggle in the first year of fast tightening cycles. Image: Ned Davis Research
Returns – R-squared of Fed Balance Sheet YoY vs. YoY Change in S&P 500 Market Capitalization that is not Driven by Earnings Since 2010, the Fed balance sheet expansion tends to explain 52% of S&P 500 returns. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
7-Quarter Change in U.S. Household Net Worth The net worth of U.S. households reached a record high of 128% of GDP. Image: BCA Research
U.S. Industry Valuations – Cheap vs. Expensive The valuation differential between the cheapest vs. most expensive industries in the U.S. is at the lowest level in 20 years. Image: Topdown Charts
After-Tax Corporate Profits as a Share of GDP Profit margins have risen sharply to an all-time high in the third quarter of 2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Number of U.S. Public Companies vs. the Net Percentage of Share Buyback for the S&P 500 The number of U.S. publicly traded companies is on the rise, thanks to a strong bull market. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality for Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality shows that December is historically a positive month in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 – >20% YTD Return at the End of November When the S&P 500 is up more than 20% at the end of November, December tends to be bullish for U.S. stocks.
Household Equity Ownership vs. Fed Balance Sheet The expansion of the Fed’s balance sheet tends to increase household equity ownership. Image: Real Investment Advice