NYSE Margin Debt and S&P 500 Margin debt on the NYSE has seen the second fastest spike on record over the past six months. Spikes in margin debt at a much faster pace than broad market returns have sometimes preceded market peaks. Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. Equity Volatility vs. Credit Volatility Credit markets are calm, with volatility running below its long-term average, but equity volatility tells a different story, pointing to a more anxious tone in stocks. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
Rolling 6-Month % Change in the S&P 500 Following a six-month rally that sent the S&P 500 soaring 23% through October 2025, investors are beginning to wonder if the market still has fuel in the tank. History suggests sustaining this pace won’t be easy. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Consecutive Trading Sessions Above 50-Day Moving Average The S&P 500’s 138-day rally above its 50-day moving average has come to an end, snapping the index’s second-longest run this century and putting volatility back in the spotlight. Image: Bloomberg
Healthcare Positioning Healthcare positioning sits in neutral territory at the 55th percentile, with steady momentum suggesting room for further gains. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Performance of AI-Exposed Equities – Indexed Return vs. Equal-Weight S&P 500 The AI rally remains a story of infrastructure winners, with chip giants, data-center builders, and cloud platforms reaping the rewards as application and productivity names struggle to catch up. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index Peak-to-Trough During a Midterm Year Midterm years often bring large pullbacks — but history says don’t panic. Since 1950, every midterm-year bottom in U.S. stocks has been followed by a powerful rebound, averaging gains of more than 30% over the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research
Nasdaq 100 Ratio to S&P 500 Equal Weighted After years of leaving the broader market in the dust, the Nasdaq 100’s outperformance over the average S&P 500 stock has lost steam, with recent data showing the gap is starting to narrow. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Total Return and Gold Return Gold’s shine isn’t dimming, even as U.S. stocks rally. Both are up together for a third straight year. Investors now view bullion as shelter with upside, and central banks’ steady buying keeps the tailwind blowing. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuation U.S. stocks are priced for perfection — valuations sitting at levels that rarely end well. Timing the turn is tricky, but when prices run this hot, even the slightest cool-down in fundamentals can burn. Image: Bloomberg
MSCI AC World: 10-Year Annualized Total Return Goldman Sachs forecasts a 10-year annual return of 7.7% in USD for global stocks — a solid long-term outlook, though shy of the boom years’ pace. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research