Author: isabelnet

Consensus Earnings Estimates Despite economic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts, downward revisions to 2025 EPS estimates have remained modest, underscoring their resilience. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Two-Day Returns for the S&P 500 The clustering of best and worst days underscores the importance of patience and discipline in investing. Selling after the worst days often means missing the best days that follow! Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction A decline in margin debt has historically signaled impending market turbulence, as margin debt levels often reflect investor confidence and risk appetite. Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 Returns a Year After Spike in Policy Uncertainty Index The S&P 500 has a history of generating solid 12-month returns after periods of heightened policy uncertainty. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Even bulls and bears are calling a truce this Easter Monday—time to trade market chaos for chocolate eggs! Happy Easter Monday, Everyone!🐰😎

U.S. True Financial Conditions Index The U.S. True Financial Conditions Index stands at 6, indicating a slightly accommodative financial environment. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Maximum S&P 500 Drawdowns and Recessions If the U.S. economy enters a recession due to Trump’s tariffs, the stock market could decline further. The market appears not to have fully priced in the risk of a recession. Image: Yahoo Finance

Contributions to Annualized U.S. PCE Growth The U.S. stock market’s recent underperformance is expected to reduce the wealth effect, turning it from a boost to a drag on consumption and increasing the risk of a broader economic slowdown as consumer spending weakens. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Intraday Swings Recent S&P 500 volatility, characterized by intraday swings exceeding 10% and VIX spikes echoing 2008 and COVID-era turbulence, appears to be stabilizing. Image: Bloomberg

Gold vs. 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Gold is increasingly being positioned as an alternative to U.S. Treasury bonds. Image: Deutsche Bank

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 took a 1.50% dip this week, but bears are open to talks if bulls show respect! Happy Easter Weekend, Everyone! 🐰😎