Author: isabelnet

G4 Central Banks Monetary Policy Rate If the trend in G4 central banks monetary policy rates continues, this chart suggests that we could see -4% in 2030. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

Percentage of Euro IG Credit Trading in Various Yield Buckets and Negative Yields This chart is another example of negative-yielding debt, which poses major risks for investors. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch

Different Holders of DM Government Debt The chart shows the historical breakdown of different holders of DM government bonds and overall DM debt-to-GDP. Even with QE, central bank government bond holdings are below historical peaks. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute

U.S. Jobless Claims Lead the Unemployment Rate This chart suggests that U.S. jobless claims lead the unemployment rate by 7 months. U.S. initial claims for unemployment fall more than expected to 209,000. Image: Oxford Economics

U.S. Jobless Claims and Recessions Before a recession, U.S. initial jobless claims bottomed. Image: Jeroen Blokland

Germany – Explaining 10-Year Bund Yields This great chart suggests that demographics explain Germany’s 10-year bund yields. An R² of 0.87 is quite high and significant. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

U.S./German 2-Year Yield Spread vs. U.S./Euro Foreign Exchange Rate This chart shows the Euro vs. US Dollar (EUR/USD) and how a wider U.S./German 2-year yield spread corresponds to a stronger US dollar. R² = 0.62 since 2005.

Democrats, Republicans, Independents – View of the Economy Americans are showing some doubts about the economy, but Democrats are more concerned than Republicans. Image: The New York Times

Economists Never See A Recession Coming This chart shows that economists are not good at predicting U.S. recessions. Image: Bianco Research

Citi Economic Surprise Index vs. EUR/USD Weaker European growth relative to the U.S. could weaken Euro/U.S. Dollar. Image: Credit Suisse

MSCI Emerging Markets and South Korea Export Volumes Less export volumes are not good news for emerging markets. Image: Nordea and Macrobond