Real S&P 500 vs. Valuations (CAPE)

Real S&P 500 vs. Valuations (CAPE) The timing of your investment journey can significantly impact your future outcomes. Even with the Fed’s interventions, recovering from a bear market can take an extended period after speculative…

ISM Manufacturing PMI and Global Stocks vs. Government Bonds

ISM Manufacturing PMI and Global Stocks vs. Government Bonds In a potential shift from a “no” to a “hard” landing scenario, government bonds may outperform due to increased risk aversion, interest rate cuts, lower inflation…

Performance – S&P 500 vs. S&P Regional Banks Index

Performance – S&P Regional Banks Index vs. S&P 500 Regional banks and the equal-weighted S&P 500 have recently reached new relative lows, a concerning trend in the financial market. This trend is noteworthy given the…

Energy Group Positioning

Energy Group Positioning Energy positioning in the 62nd percentile is still far from extreme. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. ISM Manufacturing and Services Survey Data

U.S. ISM Manufacturing and Services Survey Data A “soft recession” occurs when the manufacturing side of the U.S. economy contracts while services remain robust, leading to a period of slower economic activity. Image: Real Investment…

Performance of Different U.S. Fama French Factor Returns

Performance of Different U.S. Fama French Factor Returns U.S. small-cap value has been the best bet over the past 25 years. However, small-cap value stocks are typically more volatile in the short term, making a…

Price of Oil Forecast

Price of Oil Forecast In contrast to futures market’s expectations, Goldman Sachs forecasts a positive outlook for oil prices over the next 3 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Utilities Flows

Utilities Flows Utility funds continue to attract strong inflows, making them a popular choice for investors seeking stable and predictable returns. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

India Equity Fund Flows

India Equity Fund Flows Investor behavior and sentiment are frequently gauged by analyzing fund flows. Over the past week, India equity funds experienced record inflows, indicating a surge in optimism among investors. Image: BofA Global…

S&P 500 3-Month Performance During an Election Year

S&P 500 3-Month Performance During an Election Year In Presidential election years, June to August stands out as the strongest 3-month period of the year. The S&P 500 has been up 75% of the time,…