Real GDP in U.S. Deutsche Bank has significantly revised its U.S. GDP growth forecast for the second half of 2025 and early 2026, citing trade policy shocks and tighter financial conditions. Image: Deutsche Bank

ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM New Orders – Inventories The spread between U.S. ISM New Orders and Inventories suggests a positive upward trend in the ISM manufacturing PMI, with new orders increasing at a more…

Real Estate Flows The longest streak of inflows into REITs since March 2022 highlights investor confidence in the long-term value and resilience of the real estate sector, driven by expectations of potential Fed rate cuts.…

Real U.S. Household Net Worth vs. GDP The current wealth of American households, marked by an unprecedented gap between net worth and GDP, raises concerns about sustainability. A correction may occur if asset prices begin…

U.S. Households Allocation to Corporate Equities as a % of Financial Assets Historically, periods of high household equity allocation have been followed by lower market returns, suggesting that current trends may signal potential risks for…

U.S. Dollar Forecast BofA’s outlook suggests a continued decline of the U.S. dollar until the end of 2025, driven by anticipated interest rate cuts and changing global economic conditions. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Performance After >20% Pre-Election Years Following a pre-election year gain exceeding 20%, the S&P 500 index has consistently shown positive growth during the election year, with an average increase in value of 11.3%…

Weekly Loan Fund Flows Investors are exhibiting a cautious approach, as evidenced by significant outflows from U.S. loan funds. Image: BofA Global Research

Aggregate G6 Central Bank Balance Sheet The aggregate G6 central bank balance sheet is expected to continue decreasing in 2024 and 2025 as central banks unwind their pandemic-era asset purchase programs through quantitative tightening measures.…

S&P 500 vs. U.S. Dollar Index A recovery in risk sentiment and higher equity prices has coincided with a weakening of the U.S. dollar, suggesting that investors are shifting their preferences towards riskier assets. Image:…

S&P 500 and NYSE Daily Advancing Volume 10x More than Daily Declining Volume When the daily advancing volume on the NYSE is ten times greater than the daily declining volume, it typically leads to higher…