Ownership of Developed Markets Government Debt Most U.S. government debt is owned domestically, while foreign investors hold a smaller but still significant portion. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 >4.5% in Four Days and Above 200-Day MA Since 1990, when the S&P 500 has risen more than 4.5% in four days, it has shown a strong tendency to be higher a year…
Volatility – VIX and U.S. Election The historical trend of the VIX spiking before U.S. elections and then rapidly declining afterward can be attributed to heightened uncertainty and investor fear in the lead-up to the…
Central Bank Policy Rate Changes Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast regarding interest rate policies, suggesting significant declines in policy rates across most economies over the next 12 months, driven by easing inflation and slowing…
What Is the Most Likely Outcome for the Global Economy in the Next 12 Months? FMS investors are anticipating a “soft landing” as the most likely outcome for the global economy, which implies a gradual…
Market – Gain Needed to Recover from Loss in an Investment The greater the potential loss, the more difficult it becomes to recover, potentially leading to significant long-term impacts on an investment portfolio. Image: Carson…
Percentage of Countries with Manufacturing PMI Above 50 While the global manufacturing sector faced headwinds in mid-2023, the latest data suggest a gradual recovery is underway, with the percentage of countries in expansion nearly doubling…
S&P 500 and VIX Above 50 When the VIX exceeded 50, the S&P 500 was higher a year later in 91 out of 92 instances since 1990, with an average gain of 33%. Image: Carson…
S&P 500 Going into a Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Trigger Event The recent triggering of the Sahm Rule indicator has diverged from the typical behavior of U.S. equities seen in the lead-up to a recession.…
Bitcoin Market Price and Average Cost of Production Bitcoin’s market price currently exceeds the average cost of production, estimated by JP Morgan, creating a profitable scenario for miners. Image: J.P. Morgan
Europe’s GRANOLAS Stocks and Market Capitalization While Europe may not have the Magnificent Seven, it does have the GRANOLAS, which represents Glaxosmithkline, Roche, ASML, Nestle, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, L’Oreal, LVMH, Astrazeneca, SAP, and Sanofi. Image:…