Real 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Despite rising 10-year real U.S. Treasury yields indicating tighter financial conditions, the stock market remains unaffected due to favorable economic indicators, strong corporate earnings forecasts, and anticipated supportive monetary policy.…
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Forecast Goldman Sachs forecasts the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to hit 4.35% by the end of 2025, diverging from current futures market expectations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Equities as a Percent of Financial Assets With favorable market conditions and increasing stock valuations, Americans now hold more than 37% of all assets in equities, marking a record high. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 Performance After 10 Days or More of Decliners > Advancers Bulls are smiling again! Since 1974, when the S&P 500 had more decliners than advancers for 10 or more consecutive days, it has…
The World Economy – GDP by Country The United States has maintained its position as the world’s largest economy for over a century and is projected to continue this trend in 2025, unless, of course,…
S&P 500 – Top 10 U.S. Companies by Market Capitalization Relative to Total The dominance of the top 10 U.S. companies in the S&P 500 Index raises concerns about the index’s ability to provide adequate…
U.S. Debt to GDP Ratio The projected surge in U.S. federal debt over the next three decades may adversely impact the economy, resulting in elevated interest payments, strained resources, and possible constraints on economic growth…
Annual Total Returns While most markets average 5-10% returns annually, positive years can push this average to 10-15%, highlighting the potential for higher gains during favorable market conditions. Image: TS Lombard
Federal Debt Outstanding % GDP and Federal Interest Payments % GDP Recent interest rate cuts are easing federal interest expenses but raise concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability, as interest payments are expected to increase significantly…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day While bulls have faced significant challenges this week due to limited rate cuts in 2025 and market volatility, bears are finding reasons to be optimistic about potential corrections in the…
U.S. Money Market Funds Following the Fed’s first rate cut, U.S. money market funds typically experience outflows within 12 months as investors rebalance portfolios and reassess risk in response to changing interest rates and market…