Commodities – Commodity Prices In a non-recessionary environment, lower U.S. interest rates can lead to an increase in commodity prices, particularly metals, gold, and brent crude oil. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Luxury Goods Coverage Constant Currency Revenue Growth The luxury goods sector is expected to grow by 4% in 2024, suggesting a slight decline in the luxury goods market compared to the previous year. Image: BofA…
Secular Bull Market Analogs and S&P 500 Since the Great Recession, U.S. stocks have behaved like a secular bull market, which is characterized by an extended period of growth and rising prices. Image: BofA Global…
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and U.S. GDP Growth The large gap that currently exists between the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and U.S. real GDP will eventually close, as economic indicators tend to align over time.…
Volatility Divergence – VIX vs. MOVE The divergence between VIX and MOVE presents unique challenges and opportunities for market participants, reflecting different expectations and perceptions of risk in the equity and bond markets. Image: BofA…
S&P 500 Performance When Higher in November, December, January, February, and March Since 1950, when the S&P 500 index has been higher in November, December, January, February, and March, the rest of the year has…
S&P 500 – Secular Bull and Bear Markets The strong performance of the S&P 500 in 2023 and 2024 could be seen as a clear indication of a more sustained secular bull market, potentially extending…
What Presents the Biggest Risk to Markets over the Next 6 Months in Your View? According to a recent survey, 27% of JPM customers consider high valuations to be the biggest risk to markets, indicating…
S&P 500 Performance After >25% Gain in 21 Weeks A 25% or more increase in the S&P 500 in 21 weeks (using the first signal in a cluster) suggests a bullish outlook over the next…
S&P 500 Performance After 118 or More New 52-Week Highs 118 new 52-week highs for the S&P 500 (using first signal in 6 months) suggest a bullish outlook over the next 12 months, with an…
Performance – Tech vs. S&P 500 Price Relative Will tech outperformance relative to the S&P 500 persist going forward? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy