China GDP Growth Excluding the exceptional year of 2020 due to the impact of the Covid pandemic, China’s nominal GDP growth has reached its lowest point since 1976, signaling a shift in China’s economic landscape.…

G3 Real Core Retail Sales Since 2019, real core retail sales in the United States have risen significantly, while Germany has seen stagnant growth and Japan has witnessed a decline, reflecting differing economic conditions and…

Median Relative Return vs. S&P 500 During 12 Months Following Start of Fed Cutting Cycle During periods when the Fed cuts interest rates, the healthcare and staples sectors have shown relatively stronger performance compared to…

S&P 500 and the Percentage of S&P 500 Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages is a warning sign, which could potentially have negative implications…

FMS Investors – Net % Expecting Stronger Economy vs. MSCI ACWI The increased optimism among FMS investors on global growth can be seen as a positive sign, potentially indicating a more favorable outlook. Image: BofA…

S&P 500 Gross Buybacks to Earnings Ratio It is possible that share buybacks will increase substantially in 2024, if the ratio of S&P 500 gross buybacks to earnings rises to the historical average. Image: Deutsche…

U.S. Recession and Fed Hiking Cycle Based on the lags between rate hikes and previous cycles, the likelihood of a recession in the United States remains a topic of discussion. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Dollar Strength vs. Frequency of Reported Revenue Beats A weaker U.S. dollar is correlated with more revenue beats, reflecting the potential benefits of currency depreciation on corporate financial outcomes. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Since the Global Financial Crisis, there have been only two other occasions where the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has experienced such a rapid decline, underscoring the exceptional nature of the current…

Small-Caps – Trailing 12-Month Russell 2000 Return Goldman Sachs expects the Russell 2000 small-cap index to return 15% in the next 12 months, which suggests a positive outlook for small-cap stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…

Performance – Nikkei 225 BofA has expressed its optimistic outlook for the Nikkei 225 Index, predicting that it will achieve new record highs in 2024 and rise by a substantial 13%. Image: BofA Global Research