S&P 500 Gross Buybacks to Earnings Ratio It is possible that share buybacks will increase substantially in 2024, if the ratio of S&P 500 gross buybacks to earnings rises to the historical average. Image: Deutsche…
U.S. Recession and Fed Hiking Cycle Based on the lags between rate hikes and previous cycles, the likelihood of a recession in the United States remains a topic of discussion. Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. Dollar Strength vs. Frequency of Reported Revenue Beats A weaker U.S. dollar is correlated with more revenue beats, reflecting the potential benefits of currency depreciation on corporate financial outcomes. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Since the Global Financial Crisis, there have been only two other occasions where the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has experienced such a rapid decline, underscoring the exceptional nature of the current…
Small-Caps – Trailing 12-Month Russell 2000 Return Goldman Sachs expects the Russell 2000 small-cap index to return 15% in the next 12 months, which suggests a positive outlook for small-cap stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Performance – Nikkei 225 BofA has expressed its optimistic outlook for the Nikkei 225 Index, predicting that it will achieve new record highs in 2024 and rise by a substantial 13%. Image: BofA Global Research
Global Equities – MSCI AC World Mid- and Large-Cap Index Are emerging market equities poised for continued growth? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Average Annualized 1-Month Real Total S&P 500 Return and U.S. Unemployment Rate While a low U.S. unemployment rate is generally a positive indicator for the economy, very low unemployment rates can be seen as a…
S&P 500 Real Price Index Since 1871, approximately 40% of the years have seen a negative real price return for the inflation-adjusted S&P500 index. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After a Negative Santa Claus Rally and Negative First Five Days Historically, the combination of a negative Santa Claus rally and a negative first five days of a new year for the…
Valuation – S&P 500 Trailing PE After the fall of the Berlin Wall, globalization had a significant impact on various aspects of the global economy, including financial markets, as evidenced by the P/E ratios of…