S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets The sell-in-May effect may be more relevant in bear markets. In bull markets, it may be seen as a missed opportunity for potential gains, given the…

Fed Rates Cut Since the Fed’s last hike in July 2023, their ongoing 10-month pause is exceeding the average duration. Extended periods of “higher for longer” policies often lead to unfavorable outcomes. Image: Morgan Stanley…

Cumulative Bond Flows Government bonds and investment-grade (IG) corporate bonds have experienced substantial inflows over the last 12 months. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Fund Flows Record inflows into mortgage-backed securities over the past week highlight the growing interest in this asset class among investors. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

How the S&P 500 Performance After Big Starts to Previous Election Years After a strong start to the election year, the U.S. stock market tends to regain momentum towards the end of Q2 and generally…

U.S. Treasury Price vs. 200-Day Moving Average Should investors continue shorting U.S. bonds until bond yields exceed 5%? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Housing – Global House Prices With a year-over-year increase of 6.6%, U.S. house prices are posing a greater challenge for prospective homebuyers in their pursuit of purchasing a home. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Core PCE Inflation For the past three months, U.S. core PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve’s favored gauge of inflation, has consistently exceeded the 2% target. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Performance (May – October) Broken Down by Presidential Cycle Sell in May and go away? Since 1950, the S&P 500 has shown an average return of 2.3% during the period from May through…

S&P 500 and Leveraged Long vs. Short ETF Volumes The degree of activity in leveraged long vs. short U.S. equity ETFs has experienced a substantial decline as sentiment shifts. Image: Topdown Charts

U.S. Economy A recent Deutsche Bank survey found that 45% of participants predict a “no-landing” scenario for the U.S. economy by the end of 2024. This suggests no recession and inflation will remain above the…