U.S. Implied Policy Rates – Federal Funds Futures Market expectations for Fed policy have swung dramatically over the past few months. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

How Long and How Far Away Are the Major Equity Indices from their All-Time Highs Japan’s Nikkei has reached a new high for the first time since 1989. The journey to recovery from a bear…

Valuation – U.S. Small Caps vs. Large Caps P/E Relative Considering the appealing valuations, should investors increase their allocation to U.S. small-cap stocks relative to U.S. large-cap stocks? Image: J.P. Morgan

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Semiconductors Semiconductors are discounting a substantial rise in the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI, which suggests a robust expansion in manufacturing activity and overall economic growth. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Economic Growth vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Economic growth is a driver of earnings growth, as it creates opportunities for businesses to expand their operations, increase sales, and generate higher profits. Image: Goldman Sachs…

U.S. Tech Stocks vs. Global Tech Stocks The remarkable outperformance of U.S. tech stocks underscores the competitive advantage and innovation prowess of U.S. companies, consistently surpassing global peers in growth and market value. Image: Topdown…

Fed – Number of Policy Rate Adjustments Throughout history, the Federal Reserve has made decisions that are not influenced by the election cycle, as the central bank’s actions are predominantly guided by economic indicators and…

Real S&P 500 Index and Periods to Breakeven The timing of your investment journey can significantly impact your future outcomes, and even with the Fed’s interventions, recovering from a bear market can take a considerable…

S&P 500 – Change in Liquidity Will the support given to U.S. equities through the increase in net liquidity since March 2023 persist until the end of the year? Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Consumer Sentiment and Recession In recent months, U.S. consumer sentiment has improved markedly, mainly due to lower inflation, the positive performance of risk assets and a recovery in real income growth. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 – CAPE Valuations While a high CAPE ratio can persist for extended periods without triggering a market correction, historical data suggests that such periods of elevated valuations are typically followed by lower stock…