S&P 500 After Positive YoY 12 Months in a Row When the S&P 500 is positive YoY 12 months in a row, the next 12 months tend to be bullish, with a median return of…

Commodities – FMS Global Commodity FMS investors have become more optimistic on commodities in April, contributing to a record monthly increase in commodities allocation. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

FMS Investors – Net % Saying Gold Overvalued According to FMS investors, gold is currently considered the most overvalued since August 2020, raising concerns about a potential market bubble. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Interest Rates – U.S. Federal Funds Rate Expectations BofA expects a 3.5-3.75% terminal rate in this cutting cycle, up 50bp from their previous forecast. This suggests a need to tighten monetary policy to control inflation…

Small Cap Stocks vs. Large Cap Stocks Relative Performance Is it time for U.S. equity investors to increase their allocation to small-cap stocks compared to large-cap stocks in their portfolio? Image: BofA US Equity &…

U.S. Consumer Prices Index vs. U.S. Composite PMI Input Prices (Leading Indicator) U.S. Composite PMI Input Prices tend to lead U.S. CPI by 6 months, reflecting the impact of changes in input prices on consumer…

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth A rise in the U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI is suggesting positive growth in 1Q EPS, with expectations of outperforming the initial projections. Image: BofA US Equity…

Gold Annualized Returns and Volatility While gold has had periods of significant growth and can serve as a hedge against inflation, historical data suggests that equities have generally outperformed gold over the long term. Image:…

S&P 500 Performance After >25% Gain in 100 Trading Days An increase of 25% or more in the S&P 500 within 100 days (using the first signal in a cluster) suggests a positive outlook for…

Weekly Fund Flows The strong flows into money market funds reflect the attractiveness of these funds to investors seeking relatively stable returns in the current market environment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 and Percent of S&P 500 Members Above Their 200-Day Moving Average The expansion of market breadth in the U.S. stock market indicates a broader participation of stocks in the market movement, suggesting potential…