S&P 500 Target for 2025 JPMorgan’s optimistic scenario suggests the S&P 500 may reach 5,800 by the end of the year, though recent tariff risks have tempered expectations. Image: J.P. Morgan

Different Type of Bear Markets While both cyclical and event-driven bear markets tend to drop by approximately 30%, their durations vary. Cyclical bear markets average two years, whereas event-driven ones last about eight months and…

S&P 500 Valuations Based On Forward Operating EPS The sharp market sell-off has triggered a reversion in S&P 500 valuations, which have dropped from 22.5x to 18.5x forward earnings over the past month. With the…

S&P 500 Bear Markets Should the S&P 500 transition into a bear market, history shows that patient investors are often rewarded in the year and two-year windows after the bear market starts. Image: Carson Investment…

Waterfall Declines in the S&P 500 Contrary to the widespread belief that markets systematically retest lows, analysis of waterfall declines since 1929 reveals that such occurrences are far from consistent. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC

S&P 500 and Breadth-Based Stock Market Bottom Signal A signal indicating a potential market bottom, based on extreme breadth levels, has been triggered. Historically, such signals often precede market turning points but are not infallible…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day If the U.S. trade deficit is a national emergency, then the small-cap and Nasdaq bear markets need life support! Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 🐫🐪😎

Consensus Estimated Margin Growth Slower economic growth and rising costs are expected to lead to a decline in S&P 500 margin estimates later this year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Risk Appetite Indicator for Different Asset Classes Investors have sharply shifted toward risk aversion due to escalating tariff policies and eroding market visibility. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Bond Volatility – MOVE Index The MOVE index, indicating the implied volatility of U.S. Treasury options, has recently reached its highest level since 2023, reflecting heightened uncertainty and broader financial instability. Image: The Daily Shot

Probability of U.S. Recession The rise in the one-year recession probability based on the S&P 500 and BBB spread is seen as a negative sign, highlighting economic risks that could affect market sentiment and change…