U.S. Initial Unemployment Claims and Relative Performance of Bonds vs. Stocks Bonds tend to outperform stocks when U.S. initial unemployment claims rise. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Why do bear markets matter? Inflation-adjusted bull markets are almost completely wiped out by the subsequent bear market. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Core PCE Inflation Will U.S. core PCE inflation fall faster than expected? Image: Alpine Macro
USD High Yield Gross Issuance Rising interest rates do not bode well for high yield issuance. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth How will earnings growth drive the S&P 500? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Fed Funds Rate YoY Less Real GDP Trailings 24-Months YoY Historically, the Fed’s tightening cycle tends to peak when the fed funds rate reaches the two-year trailing real GDP growth rate. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth…
Inflation – U.S. Monthly CPI Is this the peak for inflation in the United States? Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
Fed Rate Hikes or Cuts per Month Will the Fed be more dovish by year end? Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Monthly 1978 to 1986 Could the S&P 500 end the year above 4,800? Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
Returns – 12-Month Peak-to-Trough Losses, U.S. Stocks and Treasury Bonds The 60/40 portfolio has suffered significantly in the first half of 2022. Will the second half of 2022 be better? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
CRB Raw Industrials (Commodities) and Russell 2000 : Value vs. Growth Stocks Should investors expect value stocks to outperform growth stocks in a context of rising commodity prices? Image: Alpine Macro