Liquidity – Securities Held in Custody at Fed for Foreign Official Accounts
Liquidity – Securities Held in Custody at Fed for Foreign Official Accounts Should markets be worried about a new international liquidity crisis? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Liquidity – Securities Held in Custody at Fed for Foreign Official Accounts Should markets be worried about a new international liquidity crisis? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Fed Funds Rate and Forecasts BofA expects the Fed funds terminal rate to reach 3.25-3.50%. Image: BofA Global Research
Forecast – Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Should investors expect a higher terminal Fed balance sheet? Image: BofA Global Research
Median Change in Consensus FY0 EPS Estimates and NTM P/E Around the Start of Recessions Should equity investors expect earnings to fall, as recession fears mount? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Oil Impact on U.S. Headline Inflation U.S. inflation is likely to come down, as oil prices tend to drive inflation. Image: Topdown Charts
Flows – Outflows per Every $100 of Inflow Should investors stay cautious on equities, as capitulation has not been reached for risk assets? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Inflation Above 5% and Recessions Historically, when inflation exceeds 5% on an annualized basis, a recession occurs in the United States. Is it really different this time? Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Monthly GDP BofA forecasts a mild recession in the United States, beginning in the second half of this year and expects 4Q/4Q real GDP to decline 1.4%. Image: BofA Global Research
MSCI All Country World Index and Global Pairwise Stock Correlations The bear market bottom is probably not yet in, as stock correlation is higher at global market bottoms. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Yield Curve – U.S. 10-Year – 1-Year Government Bond Spread The 10Y-1Y yield curve inversion does not bode well for the U.S. economy. A recession in the United States is looking increasingly likely. Image: The…
Germany Foreign Trade Balance Germany recorded its first trade deficit in goods since 1991. Could the euro fall further? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy