MSCI EM Market Weights
MSCI EM Market Weights Despite the recent sell-off, China remains the largest market in MSCI EM. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
MSCI EM Market Weights Despite the recent sell-off, China remains the largest market in MSCI EM. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Rates – 6-Month Change in U.S. 2-Year Yield This is the largest 6-month change in U.S. 2-year rates since mid-1994. Image: BofA Global Research
Investing Strategy – Long/Short Basket of Most Overweight and Underweight Stock Performance Buying the 10 most underweight stocks and selling the 10 most overweight stocks has been a good strategy in most years. Will this…
Chinese Equities Sentiment Chinese equities sentiment is very negative, which is contrarian bullish. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median S&P 500 Price vs. Event Day Short-term investor overreactions tend to create opportunities in U.S. stocks. Image: Richardson Wealth
U.S. Recessions and 10Y-3M Yield Curve Inverted The odds of a U.S. recession are rising, but remain well below warning levels. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Global Negative Yielding Debt Market Value The amount of global debt with negative yields has fallen sharply. Image: The Daily Shot
U.S. Equities – Sentiment vs. Positioning Positioning remains on the bullish side. Is negative sentiment a contrarian bullish sign? Image: Topdown Charts
Inflation – U.S. CPI YoY and Cass Freight Shipments Index YoY (Leading Indicator) The Cass Freight Shipments Index suggests lower U.S. inflation in the second half of 2022. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
Global Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs has significantly lowered its global GDP forecast for 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Recessions – Shadow Real Fed Funds Rate and U.S. Real GDP Historically, U.S. recessions tend to begin when the real fed funds rate exceeds real GDP growth. Image: J.P. Morgan