U.S. Debts, Deficits and Economic Growth
U.S. Debts, Deficits and Economic Growth The rise in the U.S. deficit and debt has coincided with declining economic growth rates. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Debts, Deficits and Economic Growth The rise in the U.S. deficit and debt has coincided with declining economic growth rates. Image: Real Investment Advice
Bonds and Correlations – 30-Year Treasury Yield The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield correlates with many intra-equity trends. Image: Alpine Macro
U.S. Excess Liquidity (M2 Minus Nominal GDP) and S&P 500 P/E Ratio (Leading Indicator) U.S. excess liquidity (M2 minus nominal GDP) tends to lead the S&P 500 P/E ratio by 6 months. Image: Nordea and…
Cumulative Share Buybacks by Sector U.S. companies have spent $11 trillion on share repurchases since 2004, which has helped drive the U.S. stock market to record levels. Image: Fidelity Investments
Number of S&P 500 Companies Citing Inflation on Earnings Calls S&P 500 company mentions of “inflation” jump to record levels. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Equities as Share of Total Household Financial Assets U.S. households are loaded with equities. Will this end well? Image: BCA Research
China Excess Reserve Ratio and Credit Impulse (Leading Indicator) Investors should be pleased as Chinese stimulus is on the way. Image: BCA Research
Earnings Revisions Breadth and S&P 500 Price % Above/Below 200-Day Moving Average Earnings revisions have likely peaked. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Rates – Short Duration vs. Long Duration Indexed Relative to Basket Return and 5-Year, 5-Year Forward Real U.S. Treasury Yield Short vs. long duration tends to track the path of U.S. rates. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Yield Gap – S&P 500 EPS Yield vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Relative U.S. equity valuations are still attractive vs. history. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consumer Confidence Index vs. S&P 500 Does consumer confidence improve or do equities fall? Image: Piper Sandler