U.S. Inflation Expectations

U.S. Inflation Expectations U.S. inflation expectations have declined over the past month, making consumers more optimistic than in April. However, sentiment is still weaker than six months ago, with uncertainty persisting due to ongoing tariff…

S&P 500 Various Declines per Year

S&P 500 Various Declines per Year Market fluctuations are normal in investing, so effectively understanding and managing volatility is crucial for investors aiming to achieve favorable returns in financial markets. Image: Carson Investment Research

Gold – Composition of Global Official Reserves

Gold – Composition of Global Official Reserves Driven by record central bank purchases and a sharp rise in price, gold has surpassed the euro as the world’s second-largest reserve asset. Image: Financial Times

Developed Market Valuations

Developed Market Valuations While the macroeconomic outlook has weakened, the U.S. stock market’s forward P/E ratio has moved back toward pre-Liberation Day levels. Image: TS Lombard

Brent Crude Oil Prices – Biggest Weekly Jumps

Brent Crude Oil Prices – Biggest Weekly Jumps Fueled by a sudden escalation in Middle East conflict and concerns over major supply disruptions, Brent crude oil prices experienced one of their biggest weekly gains since…

AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish Readings

AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish Readings While AAII U.S. investor pessimism has eased to a 20-week low, bearish sentiment remains modestly elevated relative to historical averages, indicating that caution lingers even as market conditions improve.…

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Term Premium

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Term Premium The increasing term premium signals that investors require greater compensation for the risks inherent in holding longer-term bonds, reflecting increased concerns about interest rate and inflation over longer durations. Image:…

U.S. Dollar vs. Gold – Share in Global Reserves

U.S. Dollar vs. Gold – Share in Global Reserves As countries and central banks seek to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar for reserves and international trade, gold has emerged as the preferred alternative…

Trade Weighted Dollar vs. U.S. Inflation Surprises

Trade Weighted Dollar vs. U.S. Inflation Surprises Since February 2025, the U.S. dollar has closely tracked inflation surprises, as both headline and core inflation came in lower than expected, reflecting Fed policy expectations and concerns…