MSCI AC World Calendar Year Returns vs. Intra-Year Declines Despite median intra-year drops of 15%, the global equity index ended positively in 34 of the past 45 years—highlighting the value of long-term investing over reacting…
MSCI AC World – Bear Market Rallies Since the 1980s, there have been 19 global bear market rallies, lasting 44 days on average with MSCI AC World returns of 10–15%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
Valuation – Consensus Forward P/E vs. Expected EPS Growth The P/E premium reflects higher expected EPS growth, supported by a strong current correlation between EPS growth forecasts and P/E multiples. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
S&P 500 Daily % Range The S&P 500 surged 9.52% on Wednesday, its third-largest single-day gain since WWII, with an intraday range of 10.77%. Image: The Daily Shot
Junk and Investment Grade Credit Spreads Corporate bond yield spreads are often used as a gauge of financial market stress. They can provide insights into the likelihood of an economic downturn, but they are not…
S&P 500 After VIX Spikes >50 (Intraday), First Instance in a Month An intraday VIX spike to 50, often triggered by panic-driven market declines, typically signals a recovery ahead. Historically, the S&P 500 has gained…
Sensitivity of S&P 500 Returns to EPS and P/E Scenario Goldman Sachs projects S&P 500 EPS at $253 for 2025, driven by economic slowdowns, tariff pressures, and inflationary risks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Believing Trump’s tariffs won’t affect Americans is akin to hoping to win the lottery without purchasing a ticket—wishful thinking and highly unlikely! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
Different Type of Bear Markets While both cyclical and event-driven bear markets tend to drop by approximately 30%, their durations vary. Cyclical bear markets average two years, whereas event-driven ones last about eight months and…
S&P 500 Valuations Based On Forward Operating EPS The sharp market sell-off has triggered a reversion in S&P 500 valuations, which have dropped from 22.5x to 18.5x forward earnings over the past month. With the…
S&P 500 Bear Markets Should the S&P 500 transition into a bear market, history shows that patient investors are often rewarded in the year and two-year windows after the bear market starts. Image: Carson Investment…