S&P 500 Index The current rally is underpinned by solid employment data and improving trade sentiment. If the S&P 500 can sustain levels above 6,000, the only major resistance ahead is the all-time high near…

Return – S&P 500 Index Corrections of 10%-15% History shows that sharp early-year declines in the S&P 500—like those in 2009, 2020, and now 2025—often set the stage for powerful rebounds and strong year-end gains.…

U.S. NonFarm Employment Annual Growth The YOY job growth rate of 1.1% is a warning sign, as similar levels have coincided with periods just before or during recessions since 1950, supporting the case for the…

S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium With the U.S. equity risk premium at historically low levels, equity investors face a more challenging environment, as the risk-reward trade-off is less attractive than before. Image: The Daily Shot

U.S. Debt Held by Public as Share of GDP Rising U.S. federal debt could lead to higher interest payments, reduced investment and growth, fewer jobs, lower wages, and less flexibility for the government to respond…

MSCI All-Country World Index and RSI (14) Signs of overheating are emerging in global stocks, with technical and flow indicators nearing thresholds that have previously triggered sell signals. Image: Bloomberg

Economy-Wide Firm AI Adoption Rate Since 2025 began, the adoption of artificial intelligence by firms has surged, largely due to proven increases in efficiency, reduced expenses, and improved profits industry-wide. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…

Forward 10-Year Real Returns and CAPE Valuations While high CAPE ratios can persist in markets for years, history suggests these elevated valuations often precede eras of subdued stock returns. Image: Real Investment Advice

Length of Bull Markets and When They Started The current bull market, which began in October 2022, remains relatively young by historical standards and could persist much longer than bearish observers expect. Image: Carson Investment…

Cumulative Flows in All Bitcoin Funds and Gold ETF Holdings The past month has seen a clear preference for Bitcoin over gold among investors, driven by a shift toward riskier assets, robust technical performance, and…

Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index The recent decline in the U.S. Citi Economic Surprise Index indicates that the economy is currently underperforming analysts’ expectations. Image: Real Investment Advice