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Rolling 3-Month Total Return Spread - Zombie Companies - S&P 500
May 03 2021

Performance – Rolling 3-Month Total Return Spread: Zombie Companies – S&P 500

Performance – Rolling 3-Month Total Return Spread: Zombie Companies – S&P 500 Is zombie companies’ outperformance over? Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

Price Volatility - Bitcoin vs. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
May 01 2021

Price Volatility: Bitcoin vs. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)

Price Volatility: Bitcoin vs. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Is the price of Bitcoin too volatile to be a store of value? Image: Alpine Macro

M2 Velocity vs. US Core Inflation (21-month lag)
May 01 2021

U.S. Core Inflation Expected Over the Next 21 Months (Leading Indicator)

U.S. Core Inflation Expected Over the Next 21 Months (Leading Indicator) M2 velocity year-over-year tends to lead U.S. core CPI by 21 months (R² = 0.52 since 1996).  It has been quite accurate for more…

Central Bank Balance Sheet vs. Big Tech Market Capitalization
May 01 2021

Tech Stocks – Central Bank Balance Sheet vs. Big Tech Market Capitalization

Tech Stocks – Central Bank Balance Sheet vs. Big Tech Market Capitalization Are markets too optimistic about Fed tapering? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Commodities Rolling 10-Year Annualized Return
May 01 2021

Commodities Rolling 10-Year Annualized Return

Commodities Rolling 10-Year Annualized Return Could commodities continue their comeback? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

FAANGM Stocks vs. S&P 500 and U.S. 10-Year Yields
Apr 30 2021

FAANGM Stocks vs. S&P 500 and U.S. 10-Year Yields

FAANGM Stocks vs. S&P 500 and U.S. 10-Year Yields A top in U.S. 10-year yields could be good news for FAANGM stocks. Image: Alpine Macro

CTAs' Net Position in WTI Crude Oil Futures vs. the WTI Crude Oil Futures Price
Apr 30 2021

CTAs’ Net Position in WTI Crude Oil Futures vs. the WTI Crude Oil Futures Price

CTAs’ Net Position in WTI Crude Oil Futures vs. the WTI Crude Oil Futures Price CTAs have increased their net long positions in WTI crude oil futures. Image: Nomura

S&P 500 Financials Relative Performance vs. S&P 500
Apr 30 2021

S&P 500 Financials Relative Performance vs. S&P 500

S&P 500 Financials Relative Performance vs. S&P 500 Will financials outperform the S&P 500 over the next few years? Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

CTAs' Net Position in S&P 500 Futures vs. the ISM PMI
Apr 29 2021

CTAs’ Net Position in S&P 500 Futures vs. the ISM PMI

CTAs’ Net Position in S&P 500 Futures vs. the ISM PMI CTAs remain net buyers of S&P 500 futures. Image: Nomura

U.S. Margin Debt / U.S. Wilshire 5000 Market Capitalization
Apr 29 2021

U.S. Margin Debt / U.S. Wilshire 5000 Market Capitalization

U.S. Margin Debt / U.S. Wilshire 5000 Market Capitalization Margin debt could have room to run relative to the U.S. market capitalization. Image: BCA Research

CTAs' Net Positions in 10-Year U.S. Treasury Futures vs. the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield
Apr 29 2021

CTAs’ Net Positions in 10-Year U.S. Treasury Futures vs. the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield

CTAs’ Net Positions in 10-Year U.S. Treasury Futures vs. the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield CTAs appear to have paused in covering their short positions in 10-year U.S. Treasury futures. Image: Nomura

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