Quarterly U.S. Real GDP Relative to Prerecession Path
Quarterly U.S. Real GDP Relative to Prerecession Path Is the U.S. economy on fire, as U.S. real GDP has recovered faster than normal? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Quarterly U.S. Real GDP Relative to Prerecession Path Is the U.S. economy on fire, as U.S. real GDP has recovered faster than normal? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Small-Cap Stocks – Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 The rally in small-caps is under pressure. Is it time to buy the dip? Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 Dividend Yield and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The relative advantage that the S&P 500 dividend yield has held over the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has completely disappeared. Image: Piper Sandler
U.S. Consumer Spending – Households Who Received Stimulus Payments and Households Who Did Not U.S. households who received stiumulus payments are feeling more confident about spending. Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC
Bitcoin Correlations with Asset Classes Bitcoin is positively correlated with equities and commodities. Should more investors add Bitcoin to their portfolio? Image: BofA Global Research
Oil – The Five-Year Brent Forecast Should investors expect oil prices to rise over the next few years? Image: BCA Research
Median CPI Inflation Around Pandemics/Wars Historically, inflation has not risen sharply following pandemics, because pandemics tend to lower aggregate demand. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Real GDP and Stock-to-Bond Ratio (Leading Indicator) The stock-to-bond ratio tends to lead U.S. real GDP by 5 months. Image: Alpine Macro
Inflation – UN Food and Agriculture World Food Price Index Will global food prices continue to soar? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Inflation vs. S&P 500 YoY Price Returns Historically, the S&P 500 has generated the highest returns in periods of low single-digit inflation. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
AAII Investor Sentiment Survey and S&P 500 Index Return The AAII investor sentiment is a useful contrarian indicator. Image: Jeroen Blokland