Actual vs. Predicted Change in DM Bond Yields When Regressed on PMI Level
Actual vs. Predicted Change in DM Bond Yields When Regressed on PMI Level DM bond yields appear to be overpriced. Image: J.P. Morgan
Actual vs. Predicted Change in DM Bond Yields When Regressed on PMI Level DM bond yields appear to be overpriced. Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Index Companies – Total Cash U.S. companies are sitting on a record cash pile. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Commodities vs. China Credit Impulse (Leading Indicator) China’s credit impulse tends to lead commodities by 12 months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
12-Month Rolling Correlation Between U.S. Treasury Yields and S&P 500 Should investors expect a negative stock-bond correlation? Image: BCA Research
Valuation – Commodities Relative to U.S. Equities Commodities relative to U.S. equities are trading at very low valuation level. Image: Financial Times
Housing – U.S. Home Prices and Lumber Price Will the housing market boom continue, as U.S. home prices rise to seven-year high? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Fiscal Stimulus and Real U.S. GDP Forecast Deutsche Bank expects real U.S. GDP to exceed its pre-coronavirus path by the end of 2021. Image: Deutsche Bank
CTAs’ Net Position in Dow Jones Futures vs. the Dow Jones CTAs continue to increase their long positions in Dow Jones futures. Image: Nomura
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Price Return During Bear Bond Markets Worried about a bear bond market? Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Sectors’ Relative Performance Sensitivity to Real Rates Financials benefit from higher rates, as profit margins expand. Image: BofA Global Research
MSCI World and World Technology 12-Month Forward Earnings Yield Minus U.S. 10-Year Bond Yield Over the last 4 years, the MSCI World tended to decline when the yield gap was close to 2%. Image: Societe…