S&P 500 Returns and Real Rates Correlation

S&P 500 Returns and Real Rates Correlation The correlation between S&P 500 returns and real rates has turned negative. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Seasonality – Median S&P 500 4Q Return Since 1985

Seasonality – Median S&P 500 4Q Return Since 1985 When the S&P500 has returned between 0% to 5% for the first nine months, the median 4Q return has been 9%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…

U.S. Inflation and Biden Policies

U.S. Inflation and Biden Policies Fiscal stimulus is expected to produce somewhat higher inflation. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 2020 Earnings Growth Estimates

S&P 500 2020 Earnings Growth Estimates The estimated decline in earnings for the S&P 500 could mark the second largest year-over-year decline in earnings since 2009. Image: J.P. Morgan

Gold vs. U.S. Real Yield

Gold vs. U.S. Real Yield What really matters for gold are real yields. Image: Jeroen Blokland

Cash to Shareholders

Cash to Shareholders Companies slashed payouts to shareholders in an attempt to stem the financial damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Image: J.P. Morgan