U.S. 10-Year Yields Around the End of the Recession The coronavirus pandemic has depressed the 10-year yield, leaving it stuck, even as the stock market rebounds. Image: J.P. Morgan

FMS Investors – Early-Cycle vs. Recession FMS investors are becoming more optimistic, starting to think early-cycle rather than recession. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Drawdowns – S&P 500 vs. High Yield The high-yield sector has been relatively resilient during the recent drawdown episode. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. JOLTS Survey vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield As macroeconomic data continue to improve, how long can yields resist the recovery? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

FMS Investors and Bull Market Net 46% of FMS investors say “it is a bull market”, no longer a “bear market rally” (35%). Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Annual S&P 500 EPS Growth Through 2022 Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 earnings to contract by 21% this year, before rebounding by 30% in 2021 and 11% in 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Real Retail Sales during 7 Recessions since 1970 The rebound in U.S. real retail sales is a V-shaped recovery, but can it last? Image: Pictet Asset Management

Sentiment – U.S. Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) The EU recovery fund provides more support for the euro. But is the reign of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency under threat? Image: BofA…

Utility Valuation Composite vs. S&P 500 Could utilities outperform the S&P 500? Image: MarketDesk Research

Dividend Discount Model (DDM) Implied Equity Risk Premium (ERP) Goldman Sachs expects the equity risk premium to be lower moving forward, as the macro backdrop strengthens. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Personal Saving Rate Since 1959 Precautionary saving could weigh down on consumption. Image: Deutsche Bank