Crude Oil Forecasts

Crude Oil Forecasts Goldman Sachs expects oil prices to decline from current levels. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Market Cap/M2 Money Supply

S&P 500 Market Cap/M2 Money Supply The S&P 500 market capitalization relative to M2 money supply suggests more upside. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 vs. Profit Margins

S&P 500 vs. Profit Margins Do valuations still matter? The current divergence between the S&P 500 and profit margins is huge. Image: Crescat Capital LLC

Job Losses During Recessions in the U.S.

Job Losses During Recessions in the U.S. The March-May job loss is two times larger than the total GFC job loss. On the positive side, U.S. job losses see revival in May. Image: Oxford Economics

U.S. Civilians Not In Labor Force

U.S. Civilians Not In Labor Force To put things into perspective, there currently about 137 million employed workers in the United States, and 102 million Americans are not in the labor force. Image: Deutsche Bank…

S&P 500 vs. 60/40 Portfolio

S&P 500 vs. 60/40 Portfolio Since 2020, the S&P 500 has delivered higher returns than the 60/40 portfolio but with greater volatility, while the 60/40 portfolio has provided more stability at the cost of lower…

U.S. Financial Conditions

U.S. Financial Conditions U.S. financial conditions are easing at fastest pace since 1990, thanks to policy stimulus. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research