Discretionary Positioning and Earnings Growth Discretionary positioning still lags the pace of earnings growth, leaving room for the rally to extend as long as revisions stay supportive and macro risks stay in check. That could…
Retail Gasoline Price Change Between February 23 and April 27, 2026 The Middle East conflict is sending fuel costs soaring across Asia, with gasoline prices in Southeast Asia up 37% since the war began. In…
S&P 500 1-Month Forward Returns Based On Sentiment Indicator Level Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits at 1.7, a reading historically linked to an average 0.4% decline in the S&P 500 over the next…
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic strategies sit in the 57th percentile, while discretionary investor positioning is at the 52nd percentile, leaving overall exposure far from crowded and with room to build. Image: Deutsche Bank…
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns Since 1950, the first half of May has tended to be soft for the S&P 500, ranking as the fourth weakest stretch of the year. Think of it as a…
S&P 500 Performance After >5% YTD After April Since 1972, when the S&P 500 has been up more than 5% heading into May, it has ended the year higher 92% of the time, with a…
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 1.7, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator looks stretched, a level that has historically been followed by an average -0.4% return in the S&P 500 over the following month.…
Equity Positioning Equity positioning sits at the 53rd percentile, tipping into modest overweight territory while keeping dry powder for further upside. The backdrop remains supportive. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks Buyback announcements are surging across corporate America, signaling strong balance sheets and a growing appetite to deploy excess cash. That momentum is giving equities a boost and keeping sentiment firmly…
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth Wall Street’s 2026 playbook is working so far, with first-quarter S&P 500 earnings on track for their fastest growth in five years. At last, the market has the profit momentum…
Median Monthly Flow into Equity Mutual Funds and ETFs as a % of Total AUM Historically, May has been the month with the largest outflows from equity mutual funds and ETFs, hardly surprising given how…