MSCI ACWI and Number of Countries Reporting a New High in Daily Coronavirus Cases The correlation between the MSCI AWCI and new high in daily coronavirus cases (inverted) suggests continued recovery as the coronavirus pandemic…
Growth in New Coronavirus Cases and VIX (Volatility) As the coronavirus pandemic subsides, volatility is going away. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
U.S. Large Cap Equity Historical Return Decomposition This chart shows the sources of historical returns since 1871. Image: Research Affiliates, LLC
U.S. Consumer Spending Contribution to YoY U.S. GDP Growth This time will be different, as U.S. consumer spending rarely falls into negative territory even during recessions. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute
S&P 500 and Bull Markets Goldman Sachs asks: “Has a new bull market started?” Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Small Caps – Russell 2000 Performance Relative to S&P 500 The small cap Russell 2000 index relative to the S&P 500 is at 18-year low. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Credit Risk – U.S. BBB Spreads Outside of GFC and the Great Depression, U.S. BBB spreads have never been higher. Image: Deutsche Bank
Volatility – S&P 500 Daily % Range A lower volatility suggests a higher probability of a rising stock market. Image: The Daily Shot
Fund Flows – Equity, Bonds and Money Market Funds Investors frightened by the coronavirus pandemic, put a record amount of cash into money market funds. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Free Credit Balances in Customers’s Cash Accounts and Securities Margin Accounts Cash levels in customers cash and margin accounts surged to the highest level since July 2008. Image: BofA Global Research
WTI Crude Oil and Headline CPI Inflation This chart suggests that falling oil prices could easily lead to deflation. Image: J.P. Morgan