Performance vs. S&P 500 by Uses of Cash

Performance vs. S&P 500 by Uses of Cash S&P 500 companies using cash for mergers and acquisitions have outperformed since December 2017. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Forward P/E Forecast

S&P 500 Forward P/E Forecast Goldman Sachs forecasts a forward P/E of 18.6 by year-end, and a downside scenario at 16, depending on tariffs and the US election result. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Valuation Metric

S&P 500 Valuation Metric Is the U.S. equity market overvalued? The S&P 500’s median valuation metric is in the 89th percentile. That’s not cheap by historical standards. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Jobless Claims and Recession

U.S. Jobless Claims and Recession Currently, U.S. jobless claims look good. This chart suggests that jobless claims tend to rise above the red line, prior to a recession.

Real Interest Rates and Recessions

U.S. Real Interest Rates and Recessions Currently, U.S. real interest rates are negative. In recent history, real interest rates were at least above 1.8% (orange line) before a recession.

Cumulative Weekly Fund Flows

Cumulative Weekly Fund Flows In terms of fund flows, this chart highlights the decade of fixed income. Image: BofA Global Research