U.S. and Global Real GDP Growth
U.S. and Global Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting a rebound in global growth outside the United States. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. and Global Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting a rebound in global growth outside the United States. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Morgan Stanley Forecasts a Subdued Decade for Market Returns Morgan Stanley forecasts anemic returns over the next 10 years, due to low yields, low growth and low inflation expectations. Image: Financial Times
Equity Yields vs. Bond Yields vs. Cash Yields Chart showing the large gap in yields between equities, bonds and cash. Image: J.P. Morgan
Cumulative Interest Rate Cuts in OECD Countries Central banks in OECD countries haven’t cut this much since the Great Financial Crisis. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
U.S. 10-Year Note Yield: Reaction to Recoveries From Global Slowdowns Past recoveries from global slowdowns suggest that the 10-year Treasury yield could increase. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
U.S. Corporate CCC-Rated Bonds Diverge During Trade War As the chart suggests, CCC-rated bonds are not the canary in the coal mine. The divergence in option-adjusted spreads between CCCs and higher-rated issues reflects the impact…
Valuation – Forward P/E Ratio From the valuation peak of January 2018, most P/E ratios have seen drawdowns of 20%-30%, making this feel like a bear market. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Dollar and S&P 500 vs. MSCI World ex-U.S. BofAML suggests that the outlook for the U.S. dollar remains bullish into 2020, but if the S&P 500 is to top out relative to the rest…
S&P 500 Price to Book Value vs. Future Returns The current S&P 500 price to book value suggests that equity market returns will be low over the next 10 years (R² = 0.86). Image: Tomasz…
S&P 500 Levels, Bank Projections Morgan Stanley is a bear, but Wall Street expects gains for the S&P 500 in 2020 Image: Financial Times