S&P 500 Index Single Day Average Returns Historically, the S&P 500 has shown a tendency to underperform in the latter half of February, potentially due to a combination of seasonal market patterns and investor sentiment.…
Instances When S&P 500 Longer-Term Rally Stalls Historically, periods of strong annual stock gains of over 20% followed by short-term flat performance have often led to weaker returns in the following 3 to 6 months.…
Share of Median S&P 500 Stock’s Trailing 6-Month Return Explained by Micro Factors 74% of the median S&P 500 stock’s trailing 6-month return can be explained by micro factors, which is significantly above the long-term…
AAII – U.S. Retail Investors Allocation to Stocks, Bonds and Cash High equity allocations and low cash positions don’t always mean a market reversal is near. However, they suggest that much of the market’s potential…
S&P 500 3% YTD or More on Valentine’s Day Valentine’s Day brings good news for bulls: When the S&P 500 is up 3% YTD or more on February 14th, it has historically continued to rise…
S&P 500 Aggregate EPS Surprise Corporate America has once again demonstrated its ability to sustain profit margins, with a strong Q4 2024 earnings season surpassing expectations by a significant margin. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Since the start of the year, U.S. stocks have been so weak on Fridays that bears are starting to think it’s their designated selling day—good time to take profits! Happy…
Capital Expenditure by Magnificent Seven Companies vs. Share Price Index Major U.S. tech companies are maintaining their focus on AI infrastructure investment, even as DeepSeek’s breakthroughs raise questions about spending sustainability. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Inflation Mentions on Earnings Calls Mentions of “inflation” during S&P 500 companies’ earnings calls have plummeted to their lowest levels in years, reflecting a shift in corporate concerns and economic conditions. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Index Returns in February In February, U.S. stocks often exhibit a Jekyll-and-Hyde nature: performing relatively well in the first half, but tending to underperform in the second half, giving bears a reason to…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bears celebrate CPI days like kids in a candy store, while bulls are left in the corner, watching the fun unfold—like being at a party with no invites! Happy Great…