Earnings, Margins and Valuation

Earnings, Margins and Valuation Considering earnings growth, operating margin and valuation, the S&P 500 should remain under pressure until Q3 earnings season. Image: Fidelity Investments

Effect of the Trade War on U.S. Real GDP Growth

Effect of the Trade War on U.S. Real GDP Growth Assuming no further escalation, the trade war drag on U.S. growth is expected to peak at about -0.4% in the second half of 2019. Image:…

Demographics – Forecasting U.S. GDP

Demographics – Forecasting U.S. GDP This chart suggests that aging population is weighing down growth. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

Equity Valuations

Equity Valuations This chart shows that equity valuations are not very cheap, but not stretched either. Image: Pictet Wealth Management

G4 Central Banks Monetary Policy Rate

G4 Central Banks Monetary Policy Rate If the trend in G4 central banks monetary policy rates continues, this chart suggests that we could see -4% in 2030. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

S&P 500 Short Interest

S&P 500 Short Interest This chart shows that S&P 500 short interest rebounded from cycle lows (as of July 31, 2019). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research