“Yield Curve” Google Trends vs. 10Y-3M Yield Spread This interesting chart shows the Google trends interest for the “yield curve” compared to the U.S. 10-year minus 3-month Treasury yield spread. If history helps us predict…

What Happens When the S&P 500 is Up 15% at Mid-Year? History tells us that the rest of the year is generally quite good. Image: LPL Research

S&P 500 and Past Easing Cycles The S&P 500 did rather well after easing cycles began, especially during Fed insurance cuts. You may also like “Market Reaction to Fed Insurance Cuts vs. Fed Recession Cuts.” Image:…

Concern about the Trade War 58% of American firms reported negative impacts from the trade war, versus 31% of non-American firms. Ouch! Image: American Chamber of Commerce in Singapore

S&P 500 and Recession Probability Great chart showing twelve Fed easing cycles since the 1950s, including the recession probability and the average return of the S&P 500 Index. Image: Fidelity Investments

Major Crypto Returns Since Bitcoin’s Low Since December 14, 2018 low, other major cryptocurrencies have outperformed Bitcoin. Image: Bianco Research

Growth Has Outperformed Value Since 2015 Is is time for value stocks to shine? Actually, tech stocks contribute to widening the gap between growth and value. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute

The World Has $13 Trillion of Debt With Negative Yields But there are still positive-yield bonds. Image: The Wall Street Journal

S&P 500 at Risk of a 10% Correction If the U.S. economy continues to deteriorate, the S&P 500 Index could fall into a 10% correction in the third quarter, according to Morgan Stanley. Image: Bloomberg

U.S. 10-Year Yields vs. Copper To Gold Ratio Great chart showing a strong correlation between U.S. 10-year yields and the copper to gold ratio. Image: Nordea and Macrobond