S&P 500 Valuations

S&P 500 Valuations The S&P 500’s current valuation places it alongside two standout episodes of market excess—the late-1990s dot-com mania and the 2021 stimulus-fueled rally—raising a yellow flag for investors who fear a stretch of…

Gold and 200-Day Moving Average

Gold and 200-Day Moving Average Gold’s story is still bullish, but this overheated chart, with a Z-score exceeding three, screams “cool‑down”—a pullback or a sideways pause looks more like a matter of when, not if.…

S&P 500 Performance After >35% in Six Months

S&P 500 Performance After >35% in Six Months History stands with the bulls: up over 35% in six months, the S&P 500 has rarely moved this fast—only five times since 1950. Each time, the rally…

Returns – Gold vs. S&P 500 vs. MSCI World

Returns – Gold vs. S&P 500 vs. MSCI World $4,000 gold isn’t just a headline—it’s the latest move in a powerhouse rally that has left equities in the dust since the millennium. Image: Bloomberg

Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493

Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 EPS growth for the Magnificent 7 is expected to cool to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. Mega-cap tech names should continue posting robust earnings growth,…

Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets

Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Why do bear markets matter? Because most of the gains of an inflation-adjusted bull run can be erased when the next downturn hits. Image: Real Investment Advice

Contribution of Sector Groups to S&P 500 Earnings Growth

Contribution of Sector Groups to S&P 500 Earnings Growth MCG and Tech have all but carried the market lately, fueling nearly 90% of the S&P 500’s earnings growth. Wall Street’s climb is still a tech‑powered…

S&P 500 Index and Barclays Equity Timing Indicator

S&P 500 Index and Barclays Equity Timing Indicator Barclays’ Equity Timing Indicator—a gauge of 19 market and economic signals—is tilting bullish, implying an 82% chance the S&P 500 rises over the next two months, with…