S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4 Seasonality provides valuable insights into stock market trends. Historically, after experiencing weaknesses in September and October during election years, the S&P…
China as % of MSCI ACWI Market Capitalization Assuming that China’s market capitalization as a percentage of the MSCI ACWI rises to its 2018 high of 4.0%, this scenario presents a potential upside of approximately…
Number of Global Central Bank Rate Cuts Central banks globally are responding to slowing inflation and the need to stimulate economic growth by cutting interest rates at an unprecedented pace since the COVID-19 pandemic. Image:…
High-Yield (HY) Spread USD Goldman Sachs forecasts a favorable high-yield bond market over the next 12 months, anticipating tighter spreads as a result of robust economic conditions and optimistic investor sentiment. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
S&P 500 Returns After Five Month Win Streaks Historically, the S&P 500 has shown bullish trends in the 12 months following five-month winning streaks, with an average increase of 10.6% in value observed since 1950.…
S&P 500 and the 28-Week Williams %R The Williams %R indicator is an effective tool for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in financial markets. A sustained overbought condition may indicate a healthy market. Image: BofA…
Treasury QT The current context suggests that QT can continue even as the Fed begins to cut interest rates, provided that these cuts do not push the policy rate below what is considered neutral. Image:…
Percentage of S&P 500 Stocks That Ultimately Underperform/Outperform the S&P 500 When it comes to investing in the S&P 500, the stocks investors choose make all the difference in their investment journey, as the right…
S&P 500 YTD Returns as of the End of September in Election Years The S&P 500 has demonstrated a remarkable performance in 2024, marking the best first nine months of an election year since 1950,…
Sell Side Consensus Indicator The Sell Side Indicator, which tracks Wall Street strategists’ equity allocation recommendations, has remained unchanged in September. The current level suggests that the S&P 500 may see positive gains over the…
ETF Gold Holdings While gold prices have reached new highs, household investor participation remains low, sharply contrasting with the aggressive buying strategies employed by central banks. Image: BofA Global Research