Does Quantitative Easing Affect Valuation?
Does Quantitative Easing Affect Valuation? More fundamentally, low interest rates, high margins, low taxes, buybacks & free cash flow drive stocks higher. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Fund Flows
U.S. Fund Flows Chart showing the large divergence between flows into equity funds and those into cash and bonds. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
The Performance of “Deflation Assets” vs. “Inflation Assets”
The Performance of “Deflation Assets” vs. “Inflation Assets” Interesting chart showing the performance of “Deflation Asset” vs. “Inflation Assets” since 1960. “Deflation Assets”: Government Bonds, US Investment Grade, S&P 500, US Consumer Discretionary, Growth and US High Yield “Inflation Assets”: TIPS, EAFE, US Banks, Value and Cash Image: BofA Merrill Lynch
Money Market Fund Flows and Probability of Recession
Money Market Fund Flows and Probability of Recession Investors move to safe assets by raising their cash holdings, like 2007/2008. This chart suggests that the probability of a recession in the next 12 months is high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Flows into Money Market Funds
Flows into Money Market Funds Just like 2007/2008, investors move to safe assets by raising their cash holdings, despite falling rates. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch
U.S. and European Buybacks
U.S. and European Buybacks U.S. and European buybacks as percentage of cash are not at their pre-global financial crisis levels. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Payout Ratio
S&P 500 Payout Ratio Stock buybacks and dividends as a percentage of free cash flow are reaching dangerous levels. Image: MarketWatch
Why Lower Bond Yields Influence the S&P 500?
Why Lower Bond Yields Influence the S&P 500? Because lower interest rates push stock market multiples higher. If interest rates are lower, then the value of future cash flows increases, because future cash flows are discounted back at a lower interest rate. So, lower U.S. 10-year yields influence the stock market equity risk premium. On the other…
Aswath Damodaran – Laws of Valuation: Revealing the Myths and Misconceptions
Aswath Damodaran – Laws of Valuation: Revealing the Myths and Misconceptions Aswath Damodaran is professor of corporate finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University, with his unique perspective about equity valuation. Here, he talks about the corporate life cycle, corporate finance, cash flow and the laws of valuation. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c20_S-QgvsA