S&P 500 Growth Index and Percent of IPOs with Negative EPS
S&P 500 Growth Index and Percent of IPOs with Negative EPS Growing signs of speculation and optimism, as more unprofitable companies are going public. Image: Alpine Macro
S&P 500 Growth Index and Percent of IPOs with Negative EPS Growing signs of speculation and optimism, as more unprofitable companies are going public. Image: Alpine Macro
S&P 500 Price Return and S&P 500 as Reported EPS Equity markets tend to follow the EPS trend. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
S&P 500, U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield and Blended Expected Growth Rate of S&P 500 Operating EPS The S&P 500 is vulnerable to higher yields or disappointing economic activity. Image: BCA Research
Valuation – Real 10-Year Yield vs. S&P 500 PE on Trailing Operating EPS The S&P 500 P/E tends to rise when the real 10-year yield declines. A S&P 500 P/E of 26x and 2021 EPS of $148 suggest ~3,800 for the S&P 500. Image: Stifel
Percent of S&P 500 Companies Beating Revenue and EPS Estimates To date, 86% of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported actual EPS above estimates. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
S&P 500 Trailing 4-Quarter EPS Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 earnings to contract by 21% in 2020, before rebounding by 30% next year and 11% in 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
EPS Growth – Political Party and S&P 500 Profits Cycle Historically, S&P 500 volatility has increased ahead of U.S. elections, but at the end of the day, “profits matter more than politics.” Image: BofA US Equity & US Quant Strategy
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth Estimate Goldman Sachs has raised its 2020 S&P 500 EPS estimate from $115 to $130. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
% of S&P 500 Companies Beating Quarterly EPS Estimates vs. U.S. Manufacturing ISM So far, 84% of S&P 500 companies have exceeded estimates, thanks to coronavirus cuts to forecasts. Image: J.P. Morgan
Top 5 vs. S&P 500 ex-Top 5 – YoY Contribution of EPS and P/E to Returns The performance gap could widen further, as the top 5 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are superior on almost every financial metric (revenue, profit growth, margin structure, volatility and corporate leverage). Image: Credit Suisse Research