U.S. Elections – Pre-election Equity Performance vs. Average Chart showing how the U.S. stock market has performed before and after presidential elections (“Closely contested” is defined as the margin of popular vote being below average). Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Performance During U.S. Election Years Since 1950 The S&P 500 could start to weaken now, if President Donald Trump is going to lose the 2020 election. Image: LPL Research
Volatility and U.S. Elections This chart shows how U.S. presidential elections affect volatility when the same party remains in office or not. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate Expected in 2020 Dr. James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said that the U.S. unemployment rate may hit 30% in Q2 2020. Image: Piper Sandler
Trump Tweets by Topic Is President Trump worried about impeachment? His tweets are now focused on the ‘witch hunt’ and democrats. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
U.S. Budget Deficit Government spending increases despite President Trump’s promise to eliminate debt. Image: Financial Times
U.S. Market Shares in China U.S. companies are clearly losing market share in key sectors in China, while President Trump wants American companies to leave China. Image: Oxford Economics
Approval Rating Ahead of November Re-Election Bid President Donald Trump’s approval rating is lower than a president should be if he wants to be reelected. Image: J.P. Morgan
Estimated Tariff Impact on Core Inflation President Trump’s decision to increase the tariff rate will lead to a greater boost to U.S. consumer prices. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Average Tariff on All Imports A look at U.S. tariffs in the past and where they are today. Average U.S. tariffs were close to 1%, until President Trump decided to raise them. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch
Does U.S. Productivity Increase Under President Trump? The answer is yes, because businesses have invested. Even if Net Domestic Investment to GDP is in a long-term downtrend, that’s good news for the U.S. economy. Keep in mind that it is a key factor in extending the business cycle. US Productivity has increased, because US companies have invested,…