S&P 500 1-Year Volatility vs. EPS Revisions

S&P 500 1-Year Volatility vs. EPS Revisions This chart from SG shows a good correlation between earning revisions and the S&P 500 1-year volatility. You may also like “S&P 500 1-Month Volatility History Since 1928 and VIX Since 1990.” Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

Decomposition of S&P 500 Total Returns

Decomposition of S&P 500 Total Returns Stock buybacks have contributed to higher earnings per share over the past decade. By decreasing outstanding shares, buybacks have boosted EPS for many companies. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

Inflation – S&P 500 LTM Sales Growth vs. Core CPI Since 1970

Inflation – S&P 500 LTM Sales Growth vs. Core CPI Since 1970 Rising inflation tends to boost S&P 500 earnings. According to Goldman Sachs, a 100bp increase in average annual core CPI would lift the S&P 500 EPS to $170 in 2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation: Utilities vs. Tech vs. S&P 500

Valuation: Utilities vs. Tech vs. S&P 500 Nice chart showing the valuation of utilities vs. Tech and the S&P 500. Currently, utilities are valued at 19.9x forward EPS, tech at 18.7x, and the S&P 500 at 16.4x Image: Fidelity Investments

S&P 500 Index Price Average Before and After Initial Fed Rate Cut

S&P 500 Index Price Average Before and After Initial Fed Rate Cut Historically, the S&P 500 Index has risen in 13 out of 16 cases after an initial Fed rate cut (since 1954). The divergence between the S&P 500 and EPS suggests that the market doesn’t care too much about other things, as long as…