S&P 500 Index Price Average Before and After Initial Fed Rate Cut Historically, the S&P 500 Index has risen in 13 out of 16 cases after an initial Fed rate cut (since 1954). The divergence between the S&P 500 and EPS suggests that the market doesn’t care too much about other things, as long as…
S&P 500 Index vs. Earnings per Share since 1989 The consensus S&P 500 earnings for the next 12 months has increased from $173 to $175. Image: Jeroen Blokland
Lumber Prices Are a Great Leading Indicator of Future Earnings This chart suggests that lumber prices give a good forecast of where the stock market is going. When lumber prices fall over a 12-month period, then EPS follows 6 months later. Although there is no immediate recession on the horizon, a market downturn is possible. Image:…