NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment The current 99.30 reading reflects active managers’ strong bullish stance and significant exposure to the U.S. stock market, signaling robust confidence but also caution for potential market volatility ahead. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM…
Sentiment Indicator – Investor Equity Positions Hedge funds are currently more bullish on the market compared to other investor categories, which remain cautious and have not significantly increased their market participation. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish Readings While AAII U.S. investor pessimism has eased to a 20-week low, bearish sentiment remains modestly elevated relative to historical averages, indicating that caution lingers even as market conditions improve. Image: The Daily Shot
Margin Debt and MoM Change The recent three-month, $90 billion decline in margin debt is not characteristic of what is typically observed at market tops, where margin debt tends to rise or peak amid speculative excess. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day After the S&P 500’s 2.92% rise last week, bulls are ready to party, but bears insist it’s too soon to celebrate-a bear market rally might crash the party! Have a Great Week, Everyone! 😎
Combined AAII & II Sentiment So far, the combined readings from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and Investors Intelligence (II) indicate a bullish outlook, reflecting optimism and confidence among market participants. Image: Topdown Charts
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 up 2.92% this week, bulls are confident the market’s momentum will continue, while bears argue it’s just a bear market rally! Have a Great Weekend, Everyone! 😎
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500’s 7.8% drop in Trump’s first 100 days has bulls asking if this market comes with a money-back guarantee. Meanwhile, bears are finally coming out of hibernation-and they look hungry! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 down 5.45% year-to-date, bulls are making a comeback with the slogan “Make The Stock Market Great Again!”-because apparently, even the market needs a little political pep talk to bounce back from its midlife crisis! Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 😎
Google Searches for “Global Financial Crisis” and “Great Recession” While fears of a 2025 tariff-driven recession evoke memories of 2008, some investors see today’s prevailing pessimism as a contrarian bullish signal for stocks. Historically, extreme bearish sentiment has often marked market bottoms. Image: CNBC
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day While bulls are toasting the S&P 500 gains this week, bears are busy Googling “emergency exits from a market rally.” Happy Friday, Everyone! 😎