Global Manufacturing vs. Service Sector

Global Manufacturing vs. Service Sector This chart shows that the global manufacturing sector is in recession, while the service sector is doing well. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

Financial Services Exports Around the World

Financial Services Exports Around the World In 2018, the total global exports in financial services was $489.8 billion. The US, UK and Luxembourg make up 54% of the world’s financial services exports. Image: howmuch.net

The Ability of U.S. Companies to Service their Debt is Good

The Ability of U.S. Companies to Service their Debt is Good In recent history, this chart suggests that poor ability of U.S. companies to service their debt leads to recession. That’s not the case today. This indicator suggests that there is no imminent recession on the horizon.

Flexible and Sticky Inflation

Flexible and Sticky Inflation Sticky inflation (core services) is still increasing while flexible inflation (core goods) is declining. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

S&P 500 GICs Level 1 Sector Weekly Relative Rotation Graph

S&P 500 GICs Level 1 Sector Weekly Relative Rotation Graph Technology and discretionary are weakening. Industrials and materials are leading. Financials, utilities, staples, health care and real estate are improving. Energy and communication services are lagging. Image= BofA Global Research

Quarterly Returns for All Public Pensions Plans

Quarterly Returns for All Public Pensions Plans Public pension plans lost a median of 13.2% in the first quarter of 2020. It was the lowest return in about 40 years. Image: Wilshire Trust Universe Comparison Service

U.S. ISM Composite Index and U.S. Real GDP

U.S. ISM Composite Index and U.S. Real GDP This chart shows the good correlation between the ISM Composite Index (services + manufacturing) and U.S. real GDP. What about U.S. GDP growth in 2020? Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

U.S. ISM PMI Composite Index and U.S. Real GDP

U.S. ISM PMI Composite Index and U.S. Real GDP Chart showing the correlation between the U.S. ISM PMI Composite Index and U.S. real GDP. The service sector is still expanding. Image: Oxford Economics